AI Governance Tracker

Every AI safety announcement is also a procurement document.

The instruments below — the EU AI Act, the US compute export controls, the national AI Safety Institutes, the C2PA watermarking standard — were all sold as guardrails against existential-tier risk from frontier models. They are also, simultaneously, an implementation calendar for who-gets-to-build-what, who-gets-to-import-what, who-gets-audit-rights-into-whose-stack. Both readings are correct. The instruments do not care which one motivates you.

Each row sources to the regulation text, an agency notice, or a real-time tracker. Update triggers: regulation enters into force, enforcement action announced, executive order signed or rescinded, AI Safety Institute report dropped.

Where it appears in print: Evil Robots (Book 1) Convergence chapter (regulation as backdrop) and The Ratchet (Book 2) Chapter 20 (“The Blueprint”) (regulation as control infrastructure). The page consolidates both books’ tracking.

EU AI Act Timeline

Enforcement signals to watch: European AI Office staffing and guidance; national Market Surveillance Authorities; complaints to data protection authorities under the Article-5-overlapping prohibitions.

Standing tracker: artificialintelligenceact.eu (FLI / Future of Life Institute) — most comprehensive non-official monitor of EU AI Act implementation.

US Compute Export Controls

Status under Trump II: Executive Order 14110 (Biden EO of October 2023) was revoked by Executive Order 14148 of January 20, 2025. The AI Diffusion Framework rule has been paused / under review. Implementation calendar is in flux; check the BIS Federal Register for active rules.

DeepSeek-R1 / V3 impact: Released January 20, 2025 (R1) on the same day as the Trump EO revocation. Demonstrated frontier reasoning on training compute roughly an order of magnitude below US lab estimates (DeepSeek-V3 technical report). Triggered the policy question whether export controls accelerate Chinese architectural innovation; track CSIS, RAND, and CNAS for analysis updates.

C2PA Content Provenance

Coalition for Content Provenance and Authenticity — cryptographic content credentials.

Government mandates:

• China Deep Synthesis Provisions (effective Jan 10, 2023) — labeling required for synthetic media
• EU AI Act Article 50 — disclosure for AI-generated content (Aug 2026)
• No US federal mandate. California AB 3211 vetoed Sep 2024. California SB 942 (AI Transparency Act) signed Sep 2024.

Standing source: C2PA technical specifications — the actual standard.

Open Source / Open Weight Frontier Releases

Jurisdiction restrictions on open-weight releases: No outright bans.

• California SB 1047 vetoed by Governor Newsom Sep 29, 2024
• EU AI Act Article 53(2) — exempts free-and-open-source providers from most documentation obligations, except for systemic-risk GPAI models (10^25 FLOPs threshold)
• Compute threshold mirrored in Biden EO 14110 (10^26 FLOPs reporting requirement) — now revoked

AI Safety Institutes

International cooperation:

• Bletchley Declaration (Nov 2023)
• Seoul Declaration (May 2024)
• International AI Safety Report 2025 (Bengio et al.) — first inter-government scientific assessment

State-Level US AI Legislation (Tracking)

Standing tracker: IAPP US State AI Governance Legislation Tracker — comprehensive monthly-updated state-by-state.

Bridges

• convergence-table — AI governance situated inside the broader infrastructure stack
• ratchet-clicks — click 18 (“The Blueprint”) points here
• revolving-door — AI Industry → Government → AI Industry pipeline

Sources

Inline above. Standing trackers:

• artificialintelligenceact.eu — FLI EU AI Act tracker
• BIS Federal Register feed — official US export controls
• C2PA specifications — content provenance standard
• IAPP US State AI Governance Legislation Tracker — US state law
• EPIC AI Policy — rights-focused commentary and primary-source archive
• Stanford HAI AI Index — annual cross-cutting governance + capability data

Master research dossier: the-ratchet/research-ai-governance.md (and in evil-robots/ for Book 1 chapters).