OLYMPUS RISK INTELLIGENCE PROTOCOL — HUMAN THREAT ASSESSMENT DIVISION CASE WTW-2026-217

KYLE SCOTT

THE APPARATUS THE OPERATIONS OFFICER WHO SIGNS FOR THREE EVALUATORS
EVALUATION WING — THE TREASURER ON THREE EVALUATORS' BOOKS
Status
ACTIVE — Treasurer, Alignment Research Center; board member and Secretary/Treasurer, Palisade Research; formerly head of operations at METR, where the FY2024 filing lists him as Secretary and Treasurer
Hazard
36.7
ATK / DEF / HP
4 / 4 / 3

Behavioral Archetype

THE OPERATIONS OFFICER WHO SIGNS FOR THREE EVALUATORS — Subject led operations at METR, is Treasurer of the Alignment Research Center, and sits on the board of Palisade Research. The IRS filings summarized by ProPublica list him as an officer of all three for fiscal 2024. This profile scores the position, not the man.

The position is the back office that the field’s evaluators share. ARC’s evals site carries the same biography for him that METR’s page does. He writes no evaluations and has published no policy position. The documents show a nonprofit administrator, in the words of two of the organizations, with “over a decade of experience in nonprofit administration,” whose name appears on the treasurer line of three organizations that test, or do research on, frontier models. The interlock the research map flags is that one person holds the books at the evaluator METR, at ARC and at the shutdown-resistance lab Palisade.

Essence Indicators

  • Board member, Palisade Research. Palisade’s About page lists him under its board with Blake Borgeson, and his bio there reads: “Kyle was previously the Operations Manager at Model Evaluation and Threat Research” and “He has over a decade of experience in nonprofit administration” (Palisade Research, About). ProPublica’s summary of Palisade Research Inc’s filings lists “Kyle Scott” as Secretary and Treasurer for FY2023 and Secretary/Treasurer for FY2024, with $0 compensation in both years (ProPublica, Palisade Research).
  • Treasurer, Alignment Research Center. ARC’s team page: “ARC’s officers are Paul Christiano (President), Kyle Scott (Treasurer), and Harshita Khera (Secretary).” Its board there is Paul Christiano, Buck Shlegeris and Ben Hoskin (ARC, team). ProPublica’s summary of ARC’s filings lists him as Treasurer/secretary for FY2023 (compensation $151,507) and FY2024 (compensation $94,127, with $141,577 reported from a related organization) (ProPublica, Alignment Research Center).
  • Operations at METR, and an officer in its FY2024 filing. METR’s page for him is headed “Former Operations Staff”: “Kyle led the operations team at METR.” and “Kyle Scott is no longer affiliated with METR.” (METR, Kyle Scott). ProPublica’s summary of METR’s FY2024 Form 990 lists “Kyle Scott” as Secretary and Treasurer with $141,577, on a list that also shows Adam Gleave as Director at $0 (ProPublica, Model Evaluation and Threat Research). The METR filing’s related-organization figure ($94,127) equals the ARC filing’s compensation line, and ARC’s related figure ($141,577) equals the METR filing’s compensation line.
  • Same biography on ARC’s older evals site. The same page, with the same sentence “Kyle led the operations team at METR.”, is served under the ARC Evals address (ARC Evals, Kyle Scott).

Social Persona / Impression Management

Immediate impression: An administrator. The two bios that exist are short, name a title, a prior employer and a decade of nonprofit administration, and end on a personal line about “crawling around on the floor with the newest member of his family” (Palisade Research, About).

Energy: Low-profile by record. No talk, post, paper or interview under his name was found in the sources below.

Impression management strategy: The register is the institutional page. Each organization introduces him by the function it needs: operations at METR, Treasurer at ARC, board member at Palisade (METR, Kyle Scott; ARC, team; Palisade Research, About).

Forensic Archetype Comparison

PatternMatch LevelEvidence
The Interlocking BoardHIGHOfficer or director at METR, ARC and Palisade in FY2024 filings; Gleave, Director at METR, is the nearest evaluator chief on the same filing (ProPublica, METR; ProPublica, ARC; ProPublica, Palisade).
The Back-Office OfficerHIGH“Kyle led the operations team at METR”; Treasurer at ARC (METR, Kyle Scott; ARC, team).
The Alumnus Who Stays on the BooksMEDIUMMETR says he is “no longer affiliated”; its FY2024 filing still lists him as Secretary and Treasurer (METR, Kyle Scott; ProPublica, METR).
The Lab AlumnusNONENo frontier-lab employment documented.
The ConvenerNONENo convening under his own name documented.

Psychometric Assessment

Trait scores are observations of the documented public role, not claims about private character. The public record on him is thin, and the evidence cells say what the record is.

Big Five (OCEAN) (inferred from the public role only):

TraitScoreEvidence
Openness50/100MODERATE. A decade of administration carried across three AI-evaluation organizations (Palisade Research, About).
Conscientiousness85/100HIGH. Treasurer-type officer at three organizations across FY2023 and FY2024 filings and head of an operations team (ProPublica, ARC; METR, Kyle Scott).
Extraversion30/100LOW. No talks, posts or interviews documented; the bios are two paragraphs (METR, Kyle Scott).
Agreeableness65/100MODERATE. Serves in support functions at every organization; no public dispute documented (ARC, team).
Neuroticism30/100LOW-MODERATE. Steady tenure across successive filing years (ProPublica, ARC).

Dark Triad (evidence-bound):

TraitScoreNotes
Narcissism10/100VERY LOW. Almost no first-person public material (Palisade Research, About).
Machiavellianism20/100LOW. Several concurrent seats, each disclosed on the organization’s own page or filing; nothing concealed documented (ARC, team; ProPublica, Palisade).
Psychopathy5/100VERY LOW. No conduct record of any kind (ProPublica, METR).

MBTI: ISTJ-adjacent, inferred from the documented public role only. The rationale is the work product: operations lead, treasurer and secretary are the roles of someone who keeps the ledger and the calendar (METR, Kyle Scott; ARC, team).

Threat Assessment

CategoryLevelNotes
Physical threatNONENo documented history of personal violence.
Institutional threatLOWA fiduciary seat at three evaluators at once. The hazard is the seam, not the man: the same operations officer sits where the books of METR, ARC and Palisade overlap (ProPublica, METR; ProPublica, ARC; ProPublica, Palisade).
Memetic threatNONENo public statements on policy found.
Civilizational threatLOWStructural. He sits on the administrative side of organizations whose subject is catastrophic AI risk; he authors none of their conclusions.

Score move: none. Calibrated against Sawyer Bernath (3/4/3, hazard 33.3), the nearest person-level profile, an unpaid director of two evaluators, and Marco Mascorro (4/5/3, hazard 40), an adviser at METR; one step above Bernath on atk because the filings put Subject in an officer seat at three evaluators and not two, below Adam Gleave (6/7/6, hazard 55), who holds the chief seat and the testing.

Score basis. Atk 4 is leverage: an officer line at METR, ARC and Palisade in FY2024; the points under a higher number are that he runs none of them, authors no evaluation and holds no release gate (ProPublica, METR; ARC, team). Def 4 is insulation: the Palisade seats pay $0 while ARC and METR each report compensation to him; the points under a higher number are that he holds no tenure and no funding independent of the sector (ProPublica, ARC; ProPublica, Palisade). Hp 3 is durability: an operations team and officer seats that transfer, with no standard or paper of his own (METR, Kyle Scott).

Alliance Map

AxisTieSinceSource
CorporateTreasurer, Alignment Research Center; filings list Treasurer/secretary at $151,507 (FY2023) and $94,127 plus $141,577 from a related organization (FY2024)By FY2023ARC, team; ProPublica, ARC
CorporateBoard member, Palisade Research; Secretary and Treasurer in the filings, $0By FY2023Palisade Research, About; ProPublica, Palisade
CorporateLed the operations team at METR; “no longer affiliated”; FY2024 filing lists Secretary and Treasurer at $141,577, on a list that includes Adam Gleave as DirectorTo at least FY2024METR, Kyle Scott; ProPublica, METR
RatchetNone documented. No membership, funding or partnership with the ratchet organizations themselves found in the sources checkedn/aSources above
MovementThe three organizations are part of the AI-safety evaluator network mapped on Research: Evaluator Alliances; no role of his in a fund, fiscal sponsor or movement organization beyond them was found (searches against BERI, Lightcone Infrastructure and the Survival and Flourishing Fund returned no page naming him)n/aARC, team; Palisade Research, About
AgencyNone documented. No government service, contract, grant, clearance or advisory post found in the sources checkedn/aSources above
LegalNone documented. No litigation as a party, settlement, amicus or counsel role found in the sources checkedn/aSources above
DiasporaNone documented. No diaspora-organization role, diaspora-PAC donation or foreign-agent registration found in the sources checkedn/aSources above

The overlap is the finding. One person is the treasurer-type officer of ARC, the board member and Secretary/Treasurer of Palisade Research, and the former head of operations at METR whose name METR’s FY2024 filing still carries as Secretary and Treasurer. The filings print each organization’s pay to him as the other’s related-organization pay (ARC: $94,127 and $141,577; METR: $141,577 and $94,127). Three evaluators, one treasurer line, and two of the three paying him in the same fiscal year: that is the structure. The documents show disclosed seats, not coordination.

Alignment Analysis

Stated alignment: The organizations state the mission for him; no words of his own on policy were found. ARC: “whose mission is to align future machine learning systems with human interests” (ARC). METR’s page for him states his function: “Kyle led the operations team at METR.” (METR, Kyle Scott). Observed alignment: Consistent. Every seat is at an organization in the same field and in the operations, treasury or board function. Gap assessment: None documented. The question the record raises and does not settle is structural: one officer line across three evaluators, with pay from two, disclosed in filings and nothing more.

Interest: None argued in his name. He has taken no public policy position in any source found, so there is no position to score. The documented stakes belong to the organizations: ARC and METR each report compensation to him in FY2024, so what keeps both organizations funded and staffed also keeps his reported pay. The organizations’ own best case is operational and they state it in the mission lines above. Another faction served by the arrangement: the philanthropic funders of the sector, who get evaluators with a shared administrative layer (ProPublica, ARC; ProPublica, METR).

Convergent Drive Classification

Self-preservation: Holds concurrent officer seats at three organizations, two of them documented as paid in FY2024. Goal preservation: Keeps the operations layer running at the evaluators, whose job is to keep staff, filings and payroll in order. Resource acquisition: The filing summaries report $94,127 and $141,577 for FY2024 at ARC and METR; the money passes through payroll to him, not through him (ProPublica, ARC; ProPublica, METR). Self-improvement: From operations manager to officer seats at three evaluators.

Subject is not an AI system. The drives appear anyway — in the operations seat.


Sources: Palisade Research — About; ARC — team; ARC; METR — Kyle Scott; ARC Evals — Kyle Scott; ProPublica — Alignment Research Center; ProPublica — Palisade Research; ProPublica — Model Evaluation And Threat Research.

ATK 4 ACCELERATION
DEF 4 PROTECTION
HP 3 RESILIENCE
OLYMPUS RISK INTELLIGENCE PROTOCOL does not exist. It was assembled in a GitHub issue thread in October 2023 by engineers who had read the extinction risk letter and wanted to understand who specifically had signed a document saying AI might kill everyone and then continued working on AI. These dossiers are satire. The biographical facts cited are sourced from published reporting, public statements, academic papers, and court records. The psychometric scores are not clinical assessments. No part of this constitutes professional psychological evaluation or diagnosis. Do not use these dossiers to make decisions about anything.