OLYMPUS RISK INTELLIGENCE PROTOCOL — HUMAN THREAT ASSESSMENT DIVISION CASE WTW-2026-250

JOSH JACOBSON

THE APPARATUS THE OPERATIONS CHIEF WHO PRESIDES OVER THE PIPELINE
TALENT LAYER — THE VOLUNTEER PRESIDENT OF THE PIPELINE'S BOARD
Status
ACTIVE — President of the board, MATS Research (listed on MATS's site as Board Member; unpaid, one hour a week on its FY2024 return); Chief Operating Officer, Future of Life Foundation (per MATS's team page); formerly interim COO and then board advisor, FAR.AI, and earlier roles at METR, Anthropic, BERI and CEA per MATS's bio
Hazard
36.7
ATK / DEF / HP
4 / 4 / 3

Behavioral Archetype

THE OPERATIONS CHIEF WHO PRESIDES OVER THE PIPELINE — Subject is the unpaid president of the board of MATS Research, the fellowship that supplies the labs and the evaluators with researchers, and by MATS’s own bio the Chief Operating Officer of the Future of Life Foundation. His career, in the bio’s words, is “organizational leadership, operations, and/or research for METR, FAR AI, Anthropic, on a research grant, for the Future for Humanity Institute (EpiFor), the Berkeley Existential Risk Initiative, the World Bank, SocialCops, Innovations for Poverty Action, the Centre for Effective Altruism, a tech startup, and PepsiCo” (MATS, Board: Josh Jacobson). The hazard is not a gate. He approves no model, grades no lab and, on the filing, gives the board seat one hour a week. It is that the person who presides over the board above the pipeline has run operations at an evaluator, a lab-adjacent research group and a funder-affiliated incubator, and that the record read carries not one sentence in his own voice. This profile scores the position, not the man.

The position is the fiduciary seat above the talent funnel. Ryan Kidd runs the fellowship; the board, of which Subject is president, is the body the IRS return reports above its two co-executive directors. Michael Aird is its secretary and a grantmaker at a funder MATS thanks. The interlock the research map flags is the one the pages disclose: the pipeline’s board president is also the operating officer of an incubator that Kidd’s own Manifund request for proposals names as an example of the incubators he wants funded.

Essence Indicators

  • President of the board, MATS Research. MATS’s team page lists him under “Board of Directors” as “Board Member,” and his own board page is headed “MATS Board: Josh Jacobson.” MATS’s FY2024 return, as ProPublica renders it, lists “Joshua Jacobson” as President at $0, with Abigail Olvera as Treasurer and Michael Aird as Secretary at $0; the return gives each of the three an average of one hour a week, reports three voting members of the governing body, all three independent, and answers “No” to whether any officer, director or key employee has a family or business relationship with another. Ryan Kidd and Christian Smith are listed as Co-executive Directors at $123,879 and $112,551 (MATS, Team; ProPublica, Mats Research Inc; ProPublica, FY2024 Form 990). See Ryan Kidd.
  • Chief Operating Officer, Future of Life Foundation. MATS’s bio: “Josh Jacobson is the Chief Operating Officer at the Future of Life Foundation.” FLF describes itself in its own words: “FLF helps initiate projects that empower humanity in the age of AI,” “A nonprofit organization affiliated with the Future of Life Institute,” and “FLF performs research to identify priority areas in which we actively work toward scoping and founding new organizations and initiatives.” Its FAQ on grants: “We don’t have an open application process. Our model is proactive: we identify priority areas first, then go find the right people and projects to pursue them. When we do make grants, it’s typically through three channels: grants to the organizations we’ve started; invitations to specific potential grantees; and occasional smaller-scale opportunities we post publicly.” The pages read name no staff and no funder, and the Future of Life Institute’s people page lists no FLF staff (MATS, Board: Josh Jacobson; FLF; FLF, Jobs; Future of Life Institute, Our people). See Future of Life Institute.
  • FLF’s evaluation priority. FLF’s “Epistemic Virtue Evaluations” page: “In AI, you get what you measure” and “We need independent third-party evaluations that let us tell which systems most help people believe true things for the right reasons — and which just appear to.” It wants an ecosystem with “public benchmarks and privately withheld evals that all major AI products are assessed on” where “Journalists cover these evals and hold companies accountable when they fall short” (FLF, Epistemic Virtue Evaluations). The page is the organization’s voice; it is not signed by him. Ryan Kidd’s Manifund request for proposals names the Future of Life Foundation among incubators he wants funded (Manifund, Ryan Kidd).
  • FAR.AI. FAR.AI’s author page, titled “Board Advisor”: “Josh Jacobson was interim COO at FAR.AI in 2022 and early 2023. He then remained involved in an advisory capacity” (FAR.AI, Josh Jacobson). See FAR.AI and Adam Gleave.
  • Earlier posts, per MATS’s bio. METR, FAR AI, Anthropic, the Future of Humanity Institute’s EpiFor project, the Berkeley Existential Risk Initiative, the World Bank, SocialCops, Innovations for Poverty Action, the Centre for Effective Altruism, “a tech startup, and PepsiCo”; “Josh holds an MPA with a focus in Econometrics in International Development from Columbia University’s School of International and Public Affairs and a Bachelor’s in International Relations and Government from Dartmouth College” (MATS, Board: Josh Jacobson). See METR and Anthropic.

Social Persona / Impression Management

Immediate impression: A title list. The public footprint read is a MATS board page, a FAR.AI author page, an IRS return and an affiliation on FLF’s behalf; there is no personal site, interview, talk transcript, op-ed or signed post of his in the record read, and none of the pages read links an X account.

Energy: Operational. The bio is a run of organizations in which he did leadership, operations or research, ending in an operating-officer title.

Impression management strategy: Let the organizations speak. FLF’s pages are written in the first-person plural without bylines, FAR.AI’s page gives one sentence, and MATS’s gives the career list. The words attributed to FLF in this profile are the organization’s, not his.

First-hand exhibits. None of his own: the record read contains no verbatim statement signed by him.

Forensic Archetype Comparison

PatternMatch LevelEvidence
The OperatorHIGHA career in operations and leadership across more than ten organizations. First-hand: “He has worked across organizational leadership, operations, and/or research for METR, FAR AI, Anthropic” (MATS, Board: Josh Jacobson).
The Interlocking BoardMODERATEPresident of the board of the pipeline and COO of an incubator that its CEO names in his funding request; former interim COO of an evaluator (ProPublica, Mats Research Inc; Manifund, Ryan Kidd; FAR.AI, Josh Jacobson).
The Revolving DoorMODERATEEvaluator and lab-adjacent organizations, then a funder-affiliated incubator and a pipeline board; titles and years on no page read (MATS, Board: Josh Jacobson).
The Lab AlumnusLOWAnthropic appears in the bio’s list without a role or dates (MATS, Board: Josh Jacobson).
The GatekeeperNONEThe seat is a board hour a week over a fellowship, not a release or a licence (ProPublica, FY2024 Form 990).
The ActivistNONENo campaign or public advocacy under his name in the record read.

Psychometric Assessment

Trait scores are observations of the documented public role, not claims about private character. The record on him is organizational pages and a filing, and the evidence cells say so.

Big Five (OCEAN) (inferred from the public role only):

TraitScoreEvidence
Openness65/100MODERATE-HIGH. A career that runs from the World Bank and PepsiCo to longtermist research groups (MATS, Board: Josh Jacobson).
Conscientiousness75/100MODERATE-HIGH. Operating roles at several organizations and the officer who signs as President on a return with a conflict-of-interest policy posted (ProPublica, Mats Research Inc; MATS, Transparency).
Extraversion25/100LOW. No talk, interview, post or social account under his name in the record read (FAR.AI, Josh Jacobson).
Agreeableness60/100MODERATE. Returned as an advisor to an organization after leaving its operating post (FAR.AI, Josh Jacobson).
Neuroticism20/100LOW. Nothing in the record bears on it; the pages are role descriptions.

Dark Triad (evidence-bound):

TraitScoreNotes
Narcissism8/100VERY LOW. No self-description of his own anywhere in the record; the bio is MATS’s (MATS, Board: Josh Jacobson).
Machiavellianism20/100LOW. Several concurrent seats, each disclosed on an organization’s own page; the seats are unpaid or operating roles (ProPublica, Mats Research Inc). Observation of the documented role, not a claim about private character.
Psychopathy5/100VERY LOW. No conduct record of any kind in the sources.

MBTI: ISTJ-adjacent (“The Logistician”), inferred from the documented public role only. The rationale is the work product: an operations career and a fiduciary seat, with no public persona. First-hand rationale: “organizational leadership, operations, and/or research” is how his bio frames what he has done (MATS, Board: Josh Jacobson). This is a style inference, not a test result.

Threat Assessment

CategoryLevelNotes
Physical threatNONENo documented history of personal violence.
Institutional threatLOWOne of three votes on the independent board above the pipeline, and an operating officer of an incubator; no gate, no pay from MATS, one hour a week (ProPublica, FY2024 Form 990).
Memetic threatNONENothing in the record read is published under his name.
Civilizational threatLOWStructural. He sits above the supply side of the people who build and test frontier systems; he builds no deployed model.

Score rationale. The receipts: MATS’s team and board pages, the FY2024 return, FAR.AI’s author page and FLF’s pages. Attack 4, defense 4, durability 3, hazard 36.7. Peers: Kyle Scott (4/4/3, hazard 36.7), level on every component: the same unpaid fiduciary and operations seats, there at three evaluators and here at the pipeline; Sawyer Bernath (3/4/3, hazard 33.3), level on defense and durability and a point below on attack because he holds two unpaid board votes where Subject presides over the board and holds an operating office at an incubator; Ben Goldhaber (4/3/3, hazard 33.3), level on attack and a point below on defense because his income rests on a single funder’s payroll; and Ryan Kidd (5/5/5, hazard 50), the executive Subject’s board sits above, a point higher on every component because Kidd runs the organization. Attack 4 is the number most open to challenge: it rests on the presidency of a three-person board and on a title that MATS prints and FLF’s pages do not.

Score basis. ATK 4 is leverage: the board presidency over the pipeline and the operating seat at an incubator, with no gate and one hour a week (ProPublica, Mats Research Inc; MATS, Board: Josh Jacobson). DEF 4 is insulation: an unpaid seat at MATS and a paid post elsewhere, with no documented term (ProPublica, FY2024 Form 990). HP 3 is durability: an operations career and a seat that passes to a successor, with no standard or program of record under his name (MATS, Board: Josh Jacobson).

Alignment Analysis

Stated alignment: None in his own words. The organizations state it. MATS: “The main goal of MATS is to grow the AI safety & security research fields.” FLF: “FLF helps initiate projects that empower humanity in the age of AI” (MATS, Team; FLF). Observed alignment: Consistent. The career runs through organizations in the same field, from an evaluator’s operations to an incubator’s, and the board seat sits over the program that trains the people those organizations hire. Gap assessment: None documented. What the record cannot settle is the capacity in which he worked at METR and Anthropic, and the terms of the FLF post; MATS prints the list and FLF’s pages read do not mention him.

Interest: Documented, never motive, never a verdict. He has published no position in the record read; the positions below are the two organizations’ own.

  1. Position: AI systems should be assessed by independent third-party evaluations, public and private, with press scrutiny (FLF: “We need independent third-party evaluations that let us tell which systems most help people believe true things for the right reasons — and which just appear to,” FLF, Epistemic Virtue Evaluations). What adoption pays: an evaluation ecosystem is a set of organizations FLF says it works toward “scoping and founding,” and the MATS fellowship he presides over is a supplier of the researchers such organizations hire (FLF; MATS, Team). Best case: FLF’s: “In AI, you get what you measure.” Others who gain: evaluators and the funders of evaluators; see Transluce.
  2. Position: grow the AI safety and security research field (MATS, MATS, Team). What adoption pays: the program he presides over; the return lists $6,308,393 of contributions for FY2024 and pays the two executives it names (ProPublica, Mats Research Inc). He is paid nothing by MATS. Best case: its own, Ryan Kidd’s, in the post on talent growth: “mentor applications are increasing 2.2x/year and fellow applications are increasing 1.8x/year, but deployed research talent is only increasing at 1.25x/year” (Kidd, LessWrong). Others who gain: the labs and evaluators that hire alumni.

Alliance Map

AxisTieSinceSource
CorporatePresident of the board, MATS Research ($0, one hour a week); Chief Operating Officer, Future of Life Foundation (a nonprofit affiliated with the Future of Life Institute), per MATS’s bio; FAR.AI interim COO in 2022 and early 2023, then board advisorFY2024 return (MATS); FAR.AI 2022 to 2023; FLF undatedProPublica, Mats Research Inc; MATS, Board: Josh Jacobson; FAR.AI, Josh Jacobson
CorporateEarlier posts per MATS’s bio: METR, Anthropic (“on a research grant” as printed), the Future of Humanity Institute (EpiFor), the Berkeley Existential Risk Initiative, the World Bank, SocialCops, Innovations for Poverty Action, the Centre for Effective Altruism, a tech startup, PepsiCoDates on no page readMATS, Board: Josh Jacobson
RatchetNone documented: no membership, funding or partnership with SPLC, ADL, CCDH, GDI, NewsGuard, ISD, Graphika or SIO on the MATS, FAR.AI or FLF pages readn/aMATS, Board: Josh Jacobson
MovementPresides over the board of the pipeline whose CEO is Ryan Kidd; sits beside Michael Aird, AI Program Director at Longview Philanthropy, which MATS thanks among the donors “without whose donations we would be unable to run upcoming programs”; Kidd’s Manifund request for proposals names FLF among incubators to fundFY2024 return; March 2026 reportProPublica, Mats Research Inc; MATS, AI Safety Talent Needs in 2026; Manifund, Ryan Kidd
AgencyNone documented: no government post, contract or clearance on the pages read; the World Bank appears in MATS’s bio as an earlier employer without role or datesn/aMATS, Board: Josh Jacobson
LegalNone documented against his name: no litigation, settlement, amicus filing or regulatory action found on the pages readn/aMATS, Board: Josh Jacobson
DiasporaNone documented: no diaspora-organization role, diaspora-PAC gift or FARA / FITS / FITAA registration found against his name on the pages readn/aMATS, Board: Josh Jacobson

The Corporate and Movement rows overlap in people and in time. The president of the board above the fellowship is the operating officer of an incubator named in the fellowship CEO’s funding request, a former interim chief operating officer of an evaluator, and the colleague of a grantmaker at a funder the fellowship thanks. The overlap is the finding: the board is independent on the return, the seats are disclosed, and nothing on any page says any of them decided anything for another. See the small world.

Convergent Drive Classification

Self-preservation: Holds an unpaid presidency and, per MATS, a paid operating post elsewhere; no seat is documented to depend on another (ProPublica, Mats Research Inc). Goal preservation: Keeps the same function in his hands across employers: operations for organizations in the field. First-hand: “organizational leadership, operations, and/or research” (MATS, Board: Josh Jacobson). Resource acquisition: No compensation, grant or equity is documented for him; his MATS seat pays $0 on the return (ProPublica, Mats Research Inc). Self-improvement: From an MPA in international development and a bachelor’s in government to the operating chair of an incubator. First-hand: “Josh holds an MPA with a focus in Econometrics in International Development from Columbia University’s School of International and Public Affairs” (MATS, Board: Josh Jacobson).

Subject is not an AI system. The drives appear anyway — in the operator who presides.


Public footprint: MATS board page · FAR.AI author page.

Sources: MATS — Board: Josh Jacobson; MATS — Team; MATS — Transparency; MATS — AI Safety Talent Needs in 2026; ProPublica Nonprofit Explorer — Mats Research Inc; ProPublica — FY2024 Form 990; FAR.AI — Josh Jacobson; Future of Life Foundation; FLF — Epistemic Virtue Evaluations; FLF — Jobs; Future of Life Institute — Our people; Manifund — Ryan Kidd; LessWrong — AI safety undervalues founders.

ATK 4 ACCELERATION
DEF 4 PROTECTION
HP 3 RESILIENCE
OLYMPUS RISK INTELLIGENCE PROTOCOL does not exist. It was assembled in a GitHub issue thread in October 2023 by engineers who had read the extinction risk letter and wanted to understand who specifically had signed a document saying AI might kill everyone and then continued working on AI. These dossiers are satire. The biographical facts cited are sourced from published reporting, public statements, academic papers, and court records. The psychometric scores are not clinical assessments. No part of this constitutes professional psychological evaluation or diagnosis. Do not use these dossiers to make decisions about anything.