OLYMPUS RISK INTELLIGENCE PROTOCOL — INSTITUTIONAL ASSESSMENT DIVISION CASE WTW-2026-163

ALIGNMENT RESEARCH CENTER (ARC)

THE INSTITUTIONS THE THEORY SHOP THAT BIRTHED THE GRADER
EVALUATION WING — THE PARENT OF THE GRADER
Status
ACTIVE — alignment-theory nonprofit; executive director and president Paul Christiano; board Christiano, Buck Shlegeris, Ben Hoskin; its evaluations team became METR
Hazard — Reach
60
RCH / FND / ENT
6 / 7 / 7
Conduct
STRUCTURAL — ONE BOARD, THREE ROLES

Institutional Archetype

THE THEORY SHOP THAT BIRTHED THE GRADER — The Alignment Research Center is a small theory group, but its evaluations team ran the first famous pre-deployment test of a frontier model, GPT-4, and became METR, now the best-known outside grader of the labs. Its director sits on a lab’s safety committee and its board shares a member with another evaluator. The file is open for the overlap, not the theory.

Mandate & Origin

“The Alignment Research Center (ARC) is a non-profit research organization whose mission is to align future machine learning systems with human interests. Our current research focus is developing a theoretical foundation for mechanistic explanations of neural network behavior” (ARC).

Funding & Backers

A nonprofit taking donations (ARC); see The EA to AI-Safety Funding Pipeline for the funders of this layer.

Position in the Apparatus

Actions & Leadership Choices

CONDUCT: STRUCTURAL — ONE BOARD, THREE ROLES. No wrongdoing is alleged. ARC’s executive director now advises a lab’s safety committee, a board member runs an evaluator that investigates that lab, and its former evaluations team is the field’s leading grader. Each role is public. Together they show how few hands hold the outside check on frontier AI.

Reach Assessment

Institutional: Small staff, large lineage: its evaluations team set the template for third-party pre-deployment testing. Memetic: The TaskRabbit episode from its GPT-4 test is one of the most-retold stories about AI deception.


Sources: ARC; ARC — Team; GPT-4 System Card — OpenAI.

RCH 6 REACH
FND 7 FUNDING
ENT 7 ENTRENCHMENT
OLYMPUS RISK INTELLIGENCE PROTOCOL does not exist. It was assembled in a GitHub issue thread in October 2023 by engineers who had read the extinction risk letter and wanted to understand who specifically had signed a document saying AI might kill everyone and then continued working on AI. These dossiers are satire. The biographical facts cited are sourced from published reporting, public statements, academic papers, and court records. The psychometric scores are not clinical assessments. No part of this constitutes professional psychological evaluation or diagnosis. Do not use these dossiers to make decisions about anything.